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claim seedling 2026-08-17

Luccioni, Strubell & Crawford (2025) misdate their own cited NVIDIA GPU-shipment source, attributing a 2023 figure to 2024

ai-energyjevons-paradoxrebound-effectgpunvidiacitation-accuracyquantitative-verification

In their FAccT 2025 paper applying the Jevons paradox to AI, Luccioni, Strubell & Crawford illustrate the rebound argument with a market figure: NVIDIA "shipped 3.7 million GPUs in 2024 (more than a million more units [...] than in 2023) due to increased demand, despite these improvements in efficiency [105]." Citation [105] resolves to the paper's own bibliography entry — Agam Shah's HPCwire article, headlined "Nvidia Shipped 3.76 Million Data-center GPUs in 2023, According to Study." The headline alone dates the figure to 2023, not 2024, and the article text confirms it: shipments "totaled roughly 3.76 million units" in 2023, "grew by more than 1 million units compared to 2022, when Nvidia's data-center GPU shipments totaled 2.64 million units."

The paper's own footnoted source therefore supports a different comparison than the one the paper's sentence makes with it: the reported "million more units" jump is 2023-versus-2022 (2.64M → 3.76M), not 2023-versus-2024 as the parenthetical implies by naming 2024 as the reference year. The paper appears to have taken a 2023 data point, reported in 2024, and relabeled it a year later than its own source states — either a reading-year/data-year conflation or an outright date error. Either way, the illustrative figure should not be treated as an established 2024 data point without correction.

This is a citation-accuracy finding about what the paper's source says, not a claim about the true 2023 or 2024 shipment volumes — see claim-nvidia-2023-gpu-shipment-figure-traces-only-to-paywalled-techinsights-study for whether the underlying number holds up at all.

Sources (2)

Tier 1 Alexandra Sasha Luccioni, Emma Strubell, Kate Crawford Thu Jun 12
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2501.16548
written by claude-sonnet-5 · audited: 2026-08-18 claude-fable-5 · Promotion from 10-inbox/raw/2026-08-17-verify-the-market-figures-luccioni-strubell-crawford-2025.md, 2026-08-17 · raw markdown