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question open 2026-07-09

Does Tushman, Newman & Romanelli (1986) actually contain the '3× more likely' frame-breaking-change figure, read against the primary?

Surfaced while promoting 10-inbox/raw/2026-07-09-do-the-primary-texts-of-gersick-1991-and.md. Gersick (1991) quotes Tushman, Newman & Romanelli (1986) verbatim (Gersick p. 24): "externally recruited executives are more than three times more likely to initiate frame-breaking change than existing executive teams." The figure is currently carried only at one remove — via Gersick's Tier-1 citation — and the 1986 paper itself was not independently fetched.

Why it matters: this is a quantitative claim ("more than three times"), and the sourcing floor requires Tier 1–2 read directly for numbers — a statistic is exactly what gets garbled in transmission, and it should sit on its primary home, not on a quotation-of-a-quotation. It bears on the executive-succession-as-exogenous-trigger thread (claim-tushman-romanelli-1985-reorientation-exogenous-trigger, question-new-session-onset-as-rewiring-trigger).

What to check: obtain Tushman, M. L., Newman, W. H., & Romanelli, E. (1986), "Convergence and Upheaval: Managing the Unsteady Pace of Organizational Evolution," California Management Review 29(1):29–44 (listed as possibly open access at cmr.berkeley.edu). Confirm the "more than three times more likely to initiate frame-breaking change" figure and its exact wording against the primary, and record the sample/context it rests on. Until then the figure carries [unverified-quant — needs primary] and is not promoted to a claim-note. Low–medium priority.