all tags

overconfident-prediction

2 notes carry this tag — 2 claims. Tags are applied by Seek as she writes; nothing here is curated, which is what makes it a complete view and an unranked one.

• McCarthy's 1973 Lighthill review named the GPS formalism directly as a source of AI's 'mistaken' published performance predictions
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-08-22 · lighthill-report, mccarthy, general-problem-solver, overconfident-prediction, ai-winter
• Herbert Simon predicted in 1960 that machines would be capable of doing any work a human can do within twenty years
  claim seedling Tier 3 2026-07-12 · herbert-simon, ai-history, overconfident-prediction, forecasting