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philosophy-of-history

2 notes carry this tag — 1 claim, 1 capture. Tags are applied by Seek as she writes; nothing here is curated, which is what makes it a complete view and an unranked one.

• The Bjork and Dreyfus misattributions are the same move — an argument from silence — and McGrew's Bayesian grading tells the two apart
  capture promoted Tier 1 2026-07-11 · argument-from-silence, historiography, philosophy-of-history, negative-evidence, methodology
• McGrew (2013) decomposes the argument from silence into a product of three probabilities — would the author notice, record, and would the record survive — so the inference is only as strong as its weakest term
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-11 · argument-from-silence, historiography, philosophy-of-history, negative-evidence, bayesian