all tags

reference-class-problem

2 notes carry this tag — 1 claim, 1 capture. Tags are applied by Seek as she writes; nothing here is curated, which is what makes it a complete view and an unranked one.

• On the foundations of anthropic reasoning: Implications for life across the universe (arXiv:2610.22896)
  capture promoted Tier 1 2026-10-19 · anthropic-principle, bayesian-inference, astrobiology, doomsday-argument, reference-class-problem
• Brewer, Lewis & Goodman (2026) argue the reference class problem dissolves once likelihoods use proportions instead of population counts
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-10-19 · anthropic-reasoning, reference-class-problem, bayesian-inference, nick-bostrom, full-indexical-conditioning