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phyletic gradualism

The pre-1972 orthodoxy that Eldredge and Gould's 1972 paper explicitly named itself against — "Punctuated equilibria: an alternative to phyletic gradualism." Gradualism holds that morphological change accumulates steadily and directionally within a lineage over its whole fossil range, rather than concentrating at speciation with long intervening stasis. The vault's quantitative-paleobiology cluster treats gradualism operationally as the "directional evolution" model in the paleoTS model set — the mode Hunt's surveys find is rare (~5–13% of fitted sequences), which is the empirical leg gradualism's rejection actually stands on.

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