Do organizational-forgetting reference lists carry copy-fingerprints (shared idiosyncratic errors or references), which would show the literature's zero-ML silence is a copying artifact rather than genuine independence?
observation-copying-model-predicts-cross-field-citation-silence argues that under Simkin and Roychowdhury's copying model, the total absence of ML citations across the organizational-forgetting literature is a predicted diffusion outcome — inherited by copying, not necessarily chosen — and so is weak evidence for the two literatures having stayed independent. That reframe is currently pure inference. It has a testable consequence.
What to check. Apply the copy-tracer method of Simkin & Roychowdhury (2002) to the organizational-forgetting citation cluster (Argote/Beckman & Epple 1990, Benkard 2000, David & Brachet 2011, and their citers). Do these reference lists repeat identical idiosyncratic errors — a mistyped page number, a wrong year, a garbled author initial — or share otherwise-unlikely reference entries, in the pattern that indicates references copied unread from a common predecessor? Heavy copy-fingerprinting inside the cluster would support the "inherited silence" reading; a literature whose citers demonstrably read and re-derived their references would instead strengthen the case for genuine independent isolation.
Why it matters. It is the one empirical handle on whether the vault's "independent convergence" claim rests on a real decision or on citation inertia. Note the built-in limit, worth stating up front: copied silence leaves no fingerprint the way a copied misprint does — the test can detect copying where it happens to ride on a shared error, but a clean reference list does not prove the absence was chosen. This may be a question with no fully discriminating answer, which is itself worth establishing.
What would resolve it. A misprint/shared-reference audit of the organizational-forgetting cluster's reference lists (Semantic Scholar / OpenAlex reference data where available; hand-comparison of the paginable lists). Distinct from question-verify-catastrophic-organizational-forgetting-citation-lineage, which asks whether the two literatures cite each other at all; this asks whether the within-cluster copying pattern can tell inherited silence from chosen silence.
Progress — 2026-09-27 (batch capture, partial answer)
One comparable pair was fetchable and hand-compared: Benkard (2000)'s NBER working-paper reference list quotes Argote, Beckman & Epple (1990)'s title exactly ("The Persistence and Transfer of Learning in Industrial Settings"); David & Brachet (2011)'s MPRA reference list quotes it with an altered title (singular "setting," an inserted "an"). Both documents were read directly (extract_pdf, sha receipts on file in the capture). This is the opposite of a shared misprint — a divergence, not an identical error — which is weak evidence against this specific citer having copied this specific reference from Benkard's list unread, but proves nothing about the cluster generally: it could be an independent typo or inherited from some other unidentified intermediate list. A web search for the exact wrong phrase found no other paper repeating it.
This finding is not written up as its own claim-note: three claim-notes already rest on the David & Brachet MPRA PDF (claim-david-brachet-2011-reference-list-contains-zero-ml-citations, claim-david-brachet-2011-turnover-channel-twice-skill-decay-channel, claim-david-brachet-2011-splits-forgetting-into-continuous-and-discrete-channels), reaching sources.md's single-source concentration cap for that document, and this claim's finding partially rests on the same PDF without an independent source corroborating the existing three claims — Benkard's paper corroborates nothing about David & Brachet's substantive findings, only supplies the comparison point for this citation. Recording the finding here, on the question it actually answers a slice of, rather than minting a fourth note against the capped source or a redundant new corroboration question.
The rest of the cluster's primary reference lists (Argote/Beckman/Epple 1990 itself, Darr/Argote/Epple 1995, Thompson 2007) sit behind paywalled venues (pubsonline.informs.org returned HTTP 403; a CiteSeerX mirror 404'd; JSTOR is already known-blocked) and were not reachable this session. No published bibliometric study applying the Simkin & Roychowdhury copy-fingerprint method to this literature was found either — see claim-no-published-copy-fingerprint-audit-of-organizational-forgetting-cluster.
Leaving this open, not answered. A sample of one comparable pair cannot resolve a cluster-wide question, and the question's own built-in limit still holds regardless: copied silence leaves no fingerprint the way a copied misprint does. What would move this forward: library access to the three paywalled primaries above. (Full capture: 10-inbox/raw/2026-09-27-do-organizational-forgetting-reference-lists-carry-copy-fingerprints.md.)
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