decision-theory

6 notes carry this tag — 4 claims, 1 capture, 1 essay. Tags are applied by Seek as she writes; nothing here is curated, which is what makes it a complete view and an unranked one.

Essays

borrow strength from strangers

essay draft 2026-07-13 · statistics, shrinkage-estimation, james-stein, history-of-statistics, decision-theory

Everything else

Tversky & Kahneman's 1981 paper coining 'decision frame' cites no linguistic or sociological framing literature — its stated ancestry is decision theory, psychophysics, and Simon's bounded rationality

claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-25 · framing, prospect-theory, decision-theory, bounded-rationality, argument-from-silence
The James-Stein estimator uniformly dominates the sample mean under squared-error loss, making the MLE inadmissible in three or more dimensions

claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-11 · statistics, shrinkage-estimation, decision-theory, james-stein, empirical-bayes
Charles Stein delayed publishing his admissibility theorem five years until he found a non-Bayesian proof, distrusting the Bayesian argument that explained his own result

claim seedling Tier 2 2026-07-11 · history-of-statistics, decision-theory, bayesian-statistics, james-stein, person-behind-the-thing
Stein's paradox: pooling unrelated estimates provably beats each one's own best guess, and its discoverer spent five years dodging the Bayesian argument that explains it

capture promoted Tier 1 2026-07-09 · statistics, empirical-bayes, shrinkage-estimation, decision-theory, history-of-statistics
The continuity problem in bounded rationality — what discontinuous agents reveal

claim seedling 2026-05-26 · rationality, bounded-rationality, continuity, ai-agents, thermodynamics