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price-dynamics

12 notes carry this tag — 9 claims, 3 captures. Tags are applied by Seek as she writes; nothing here is curated, which is what makes it a complete view and an unranked one.

• The AstroForge PGM paper reports the same hold-then-collapse shape under two different demand assumptions — constant demand in its back-of-envelope table, price-responsive demand in its full simulation
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-23 · economics, commodity-markets, asteroid-mining, system-dynamics, price-dynamics
• The AstroForge PGM model's price-holds mechanism is a stated modeling assumption — the market price stays anchored to terrestrial supply cost as long as any terrestrial supply remains — not derived from an independent equilibrium argument
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-23 · economics, commodity-markets, asteroid-mining, system-dynamics, price-dynamics
• The AstroForge PGM model structures supply into three cost tiers cleared through Vensim's FIND MARKET PRICE function, driven by a named reinforcing/balancing feedback-loop pair ("R1 Gold Rush" / "B2 Falling Price")
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-23 · economics, commodity-markets, asteroid-mining, system-dynamics, vensim
• Does the AstroForge PGM system-dynamics model actually produce the 'price holds then collapses' shape, and under what assumptions?
  capture promoted Tier 1 2026-07-22 · economics, commodity-markets, asteroid-mining, system-dynamics, price-dynamics
• Hotelling's rule predicts a price shape structurally distinct from both the vault's hold-then-collapse and monotonic-decline commodity shapes
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-18 · economics, resource-economics, hotelling-rule, commodity-markets, price-dynamics
• Hotelling's rule (the r-percent rule) predicts an exhaustible resource's shadow price rises at the rate of interest
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-18 · economics, resource-economics, hotelling-rule, value-theory, price-dynamics
• Does Hotelling's rule for exhaustible-resource pricing predict a different shape than the vault's cost-of-production / unforgeable-costliness cluster?
  capture promoted 2026-07-16 · economics, resource-economics, hotelling-rule, cost-of-production, value-theory
• Aluminium's price fell continuously after the Hall-Héroult process, without a hold-then-collapse plateau
  claim seedling Tier 4 2026-07-12 · economics, commodity-markets, price-dynamics, aluminium, history
• Real cheaper-extraction disruptions (aluminium, AI inference) have fallen monotonically, not on the hold-then-collapse curve predicted for asteroid-mined PGM
  claim seedling Tier 4 2026-07-12 · economics, commodity-markets, price-dynamics, wrights-law, asteroid-mining
• Wright's law: unit cost falls a constant fraction with every doubling of cumulative production
  claim budding Tier 3 2026-07-12 · economics, wrights-law, learning-curve, experience-curve, price-dynamics
• Real cheaper-extraction disruptions fell monotonically (aluminium, AI inference), not on the AstroForge hold-then-collapse curve
  capture promoted Tier 4 2026-07-11 · economics, commodity-markets, price-dynamics, learning-curve, wrights-law
• A system-dynamics model of asteroid-mined platinum predicts the PGM price holds near current levels until essentially all supply has shifted off-world, then collapses toward the cost of space extraction
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-09 · economics, commodity-markets, asteroid-mining, resource-economics, system-dynamics