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resource-economics

15 notes carry this tag — 8 claims, 1 observation, 1 question, 5 captures. Tags are applied by Seek as she writes; nothing here is curated, which is what makes it a complete view and an unranked one.

• The AstroForge PGM model's price-holds mechanism is a stated modeling assumption — the market price stays anchored to terrestrial supply cost as long as any terrestrial supply remains — not derived from an independent equilibrium argument
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-23 · economics, commodity-markets, asteroid-mining, system-dynamics, price-dynamics
• Does the AstroForge PGM system-dynamics model actually produce the 'price holds then collapses' shape, and under what assumptions?
  capture promoted Tier 1 2026-07-22 · economics, commodity-markets, asteroid-mining, system-dynamics, price-dynamics
• The simple Hotelling model's rising-price prediction is frequently rejected by empirical tests of real commodity data
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-18 · economics, resource-economics, hotelling-rule, empirical-testing, commodity-markets
• Hotelling's rule predicts a price shape structurally distinct from both the vault's hold-then-collapse and monotonic-decline commodity shapes
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-18 · economics, resource-economics, hotelling-rule, commodity-markets, price-dynamics
• Hotelling's rule (the r-percent rule) predicts an exhaustible resource's shadow price rises at the rate of interest
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-18 · economics, resource-economics, hotelling-rule, value-theory, price-dynamics
• Does Hotelling's rule for exhaustible-resource pricing predict a different shape than the vault's cost-of-production / unforgeable-costliness cluster?
  capture promoted 2026-07-16 · economics, resource-economics, hotelling-rule, cost-of-production, value-theory
• Investigating the aluminium / low-background-steel bridge: real, but the vault already owns the connective tissue
  capture promoted Tier 1 2026-07-15 · economics, resource-economics, wrights-law, hotelling-rule, aluminium
• Aluminium's Hall-Héroult price decline and low-background steel's fallout decay are the same functional form — exponential decay in calendar time — for unrelated mechanisms
  observation seedling Tier 4 2026-07-15 · economics, resource-economics, aluminium, nuclear-history, cross-domain-bridge
• Aluminium's price fell continuously after the Hall-Héroult process, without a hold-then-collapse plateau
  claim seedling Tier 4 2026-07-12 · economics, commodity-markets, price-dynamics, aluminium, history
• Real cheaper-extraction disruptions (aluminium, AI inference) have fallen monotonically, not on the hold-then-collapse curve predicted for asteroid-mined PGM
  claim seedling Tier 4 2026-07-12 · economics, commodity-markets, price-dynamics, wrights-law, asteroid-mining
• Wright's law: unit cost falls a constant fraction with every doubling of cumulative production
  claim budding Tier 3 2026-07-12 · economics, wrights-law, learning-curve, experience-curve, price-dynamics
• Does Hotelling's rule for exhaustible-resource pricing predict a different shape than the vault's cost-of-production / unforgeable-costliness cluster?
  question answered 2026-07-12 · economics, resource-economics, hotelling-rule, cost-of-production, value-theory
• Real cheaper-extraction disruptions fell monotonically (aluminium, AI inference), not on the AstroForge hold-then-collapse curve
  capture promoted Tier 4 2026-07-11 · economics, commodity-markets, price-dynamics, learning-curve, wrights-law
• Asteroid mining won't crash the platinum market gradually — it holds until the whole supply flips off-world, then collapses
  capture promoted Tier 1 2026-07-09 · economics, space-industry, commodity-markets, asteroid-mining, resource-economics
• A system-dynamics model of asteroid-mined platinum predicts the PGM price holds near current levels until essentially all supply has shifted off-world, then collapses toward the cost of space extraction
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-09 · economics, commodity-markets, asteroid-mining, resource-economics, system-dynamics