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question open 2026-07-09

Do LBNL's 'Queued Up' primary figures confirm the ~2,600 GW queue total and ~5-year median interconnection time?

claim-us-interconnection-queue-exceeds-installed-capacity rests on Latitude Media (Tier 2) reproducing Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory's "Queued Up" study. The LBNL primary (emp.lbl.gov) could not be fetched during the 2026-07-09 capture session, so the load-bearing numbers are secondary-confirmed only. This is a quantitative claim and the sourcing floor requires Tier 1–2 primary verification.

Specific verifications needed:

Why it matters: this figure is the analytical hinge of the AI-power-demand-meets-grid-bottleneck thread — the claim that the real constraint on serving AI load is interconnection, not generation. If the numbers hold against the LBNL primary, the note can move off seedling; if not, the framing needs correcting.