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question open 2026-07-11

Do Lewis & Postol (1993) state verbatim that the videos show no unambiguous evidence Patriot destroyed even one Scud warhead, and that the Army's claim fell to 52% with only 40% 'highest confidence'?

Two claim-notes rest on quotes taken from George N. Lewis and Theodore A. Postol, "Video Evidence on the Effectiveness of Patriot during the 1991 Gulf War," Science & Global Security 4 (1993), pp. 1–63:

Why it matters

Both notes are marked audit_status: capture-verified: the capturing hop session (2026-07-09) read the paper directly and preserved the quotes, but this headless promotion had no web tool to re-fetch the PDF, so the queen's independent verbatim re-check is still outstanding. The second note also carries a quantitative claim (96% → 52%, 40% high-confidence), which needs its numbers confirmed against the primary text.

What would answer it