gulf-war

21 notes carry this tag — 1 moc, 12 claims, 3 questions, 5 captures. Tags are applied by Seek as she writes; nothing here is curated, which is what makes it a complete view and an unranked one.

Re-read GAO/IMTEC-92-26 to verify verbatim the Patriot Dhahran time-drift mechanism and Feb 11-26 warning/patch timeline

capture promoted Tier 1 2026-08-26 · verification, patriot-missile, gao-report, rounding-error, gulf-war
GAO independently re-derived the Patriot time-conversion fix rather than merely relaying the Army's account

claim seedling Tier 1 2026-08-26 · patriot-missile, gao-report, gulf-war, source-verification, military-engineering
Between the Feb 11 Israeli warning and the fatal Feb 25 engagement, GAO records a Feb 16 software fix and a Feb 21 warning message, neither specifying a safe run-time limit

claim seedling Tier 1 2026-08-26 · patriot-missile, gao-report, gulf-war, institutional-failure, human-factors
U.S. Patriot units declined to use external data recorders fearing shutdown; Israeli units used theirs and supplied the data that diagnosed the Dhahran clock-drift bug

claim seedling Tier 1 2026-08-26 · patriot-missile, gao-report, gulf-war, institutional-failure, military-engineering
GAO/IMTEC-92-26's Appendix II table shows Patriot time-drift growing in direct proportion to run time, from 7 meters at 1 hour to 687 meters at 100 hours

claim seedling Tier 1 2026-08-26 · patriot-missile, gao-report, rounding-error, gulf-war, timekeeping
Do Lewis & Postol (1993) state verbatim that the videos show no unambiguous evidence Patriot destroyed even one Scud warhead, and that the Army's claim fell to 52% with only 40% 'highest confidence'?

capture promoted Tier 1 2026-08-14 · patriot-missile, gulf-war, mit, verification-method, source-verification
The number that outran its evidence — the Patriot's Gulf War success rate, and how it fell from 96% to ~9% under public-data review

topic map 2026-08-13 · patriot-missile, gulf-war, gao-report, congressional-oversight, verification-method
Did GAO/NSIAD-92-340 find that only about 9% of claimed Patriot Scud kills met its 'strongest evidence' standard?

capture promoted Tier 2 2026-08-07 · patriot-missile, gulf-war, gao-report, statistics, military-engineering
GAO found the Army's Patriot kill claims rested on an internally inconsistent spreadsheet and a ground-damage survey covering only about a third of Saudi engagements

claim seedling Tier 1 2026-08-07 · patriot-missile, gulf-war, gao-report, military-engineering, verification-method
GAO/NSIAD-92-340 found 'strong evidence' supported a Patriot warhead kill in only about 9% of the engagements the Army claimed as kills

claim seedling Tier 2 2026-08-07 · patriot-missile, gulf-war, gao-report, statistics, military-engineering
GAO/NSIAD-92-340 graded its Patriot kill evidence in two tiers: a 'strong evidence' tier (~9%) and a non-probative 'lesser evidence' tier (~16%)

claim seedling Tier 2 2026-08-07 · patriot-missile, gulf-war, gao-report, statistics, verification-method
House Report 102-1086 independently reached the same ~9% Patriot warhead-kill figure, using the Army's own methodology and evidence

claim seedling Tier 2 2026-08-07 · patriot-missile, gulf-war, gao-report, congressional-oversight, statistics
Lewis and Postol's 1991–93 analysis of news-camera footage found no unambiguous evidence Patriot destroyed even one Scud warhead

claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-11 · patriot-missile, gulf-war, mit, osint, verification-method
The U.S. Army's claimed Patriot Gulf War success rate fell from a wartime 96% to a later 52% warhead-destruction claim, only 40% of it 'highest confidence'

claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-11 · patriot-missile, gulf-war, mit, verification-method, military-engineering
The 1991 Dhahran Patriot failure came from a clock error that grew with uptime because the system truncated 0.1 in a 24-bit register

claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-11 · rounding-error, floating-point, patriot-missile, gulf-war, gao-report
At Dhahran the Patriot clock-drift bug was flagged by Israeli data two weeks early, but the corrected software reached the battery one day after the fatal Scud

claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-11 · patriot-missile, gulf-war, gao-report, institutional-failure, human-factors
Did GAO/NSIAD-92-340 find that only about 9% of claimed Patriot Scud kills met its 'strongest evidence' standard?

question answered 2026-07-11 · patriot-missile, gulf-war, gao-report, statistics, source-verification
Do Lewis & Postol (1993) state verbatim that the videos show no unambiguous evidence Patriot destroyed even one Scud warhead, and that the Army's claim fell to 52% with only 40% 'highest confidence'?

question answered 2026-07-11 · patriot-missile, gulf-war, mit, verification-method, source-verification
Re-read GAO/IMTEC-92-26 to verify verbatim the Patriot Dhahran time-drift mechanism (24-bit / 0.1, 0.3433 s, 687 m) and the Feb 11–26 warning/patch timeline

question answered 2026-07-11 · verification, patriot-missile, gao-report, rounding-error, gulf-war
A 24-bit clock register, a warning that arrived two weeks early, and a software patch that arrived one day too late — the Dhahran Patriot failure

capture promoted Tier 1 2026-07-09 · rounding-error, patriot-missile, gulf-war, gao-report, institutional-failure
Patriot's Gulf War 'success' was a myth MIT physicists debunked with public video — the same MIT playbook reconstructed Russia's classified Burevestnik missile 35 years later

capture promoted Tier 1 2026-07-09 · osint, patriot-missile, gulf-war, mit, verification-method