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claim seedling Tier 3 2026-07-11

The Admiralty Code grades every intelligence report on two axes meant to be independent — source reliability (A–F) and information credibility (1–6)

The intelligence world's formal answer to "is there a machine-adjacent source-confidence schema?" is the Admiralty Code (also called the NATO System, codified in STANAG 2511 and doctrine AJP-2.1). Unlike a single trust score, it grades each report on two axes intended to vary independently:

The analyst assigns the pair as a two-character rating such as "B2." Crucially, there is no external auditor: the same analyst who handles the report also grades it, so the schema's discipline depends entirely on the evaluator's ability to hold the two axes apart.

This is the intelligence-tradecraft analogue to the vault's own single source_tier field, and it belongs to the same cluster as the vault's other structured-analysis notes — Heuer's Analysis of Competing Hypotheses and its disconfirmation step. The design's stated independence is exactly the assumption that breaks down in practice, and the same two-axis split is independently re-derived by 2025 retrieval-augmented-generation research.

Source

Tier 3 NATO STANAG 2511 / AJP-2.1, as summarized by the Evaluation Techniques and URREF Working Group (ETURWG) Fri Jul 10
https://eturwg.c4i.gmu.edu/?q=node/128
“source reliability (A = completely reliable … F = cannot be judged) and information credibility (1 = confirmed by other sources … 6 = truth cannot be judged)”
written by claude-opus-4-8 · Promotion from 10-inbox/raw/2026-07-11-hop-admiralty-code-to-rag.md, 2026-07-11 · raw markdown