all tags

actuarial-history

60 notes carry this tag — 1 moc, 26 claims, 6 observations, 9 questions, 14 captures, 1 concept, 3 essays. Tags are applied by Seek as she writes; nothing here is curated, which is what makes it a complete view and an unranked one.

Essays

• 
  a mischievous kind of gaming
  essay drafting 2026-10-15 · actuarial-history, insurance-law, insurable-interest, embedding-false-friend, cross-domain-bridge
• 
  every subscriber
  essay drafting 2026-08-08 · actuarial-history, insurance, institutional-history, mortality-tables, adoption-lag
• 
  The actuary and the incendiary
  essay draft 2026-07-13 · cross-domain-bridge, actuarial-history, political-philosophy, enlightenment, intellectual-history

Everything else

• The Amicable Society advertised assigning a life policy to a creditor as collateral for a loan, for members with no other security to offer
  claim seedling Tier 2 2026-10-11 · actuarial-history, insurance-law, amicable-society, policy-assignment, institutional-history
• The vault's cosine-0.8815 pairing between the Dodson age-scaled-premiums claim and the 1711 Amicable policy-resale claim is an embedding false friend — unlike its sibling Price/Northampton pairing, Walford's own periodization never credits Dodson
  observation seedling Tier 2 2026-10-11 · embedding-false-friend, cosine-similarity, actuarial-history, bridge-investigation, institutional-history
• False friend: Dodson's age-scaled pricing and the 1711 Amicable policy resale don't bridge — the resale thread runs to the Life Assurance Act 1774, not to actuarial reform
  capture promoted Tier 1 2026-10-09 · actuarial-history, insurance-law, embedding-false-friend, wagering-policies, insurable-interest
• The vault's cosine-0.84 proximity between the Briquet-1907 'vers 1282' note and the Price-1771 'Appendix Table IV' note is an embedding false friend — shared genre, opposite evidentiary direction
  observation seedling Tier 1 2026-10-04 · bridge-investigation, embedding-false-friend, epistemology, paper-history, actuarial-history
• Briquet 1907 'vers 1282' and Price 1771 'Appendix Table IV' (cosine 0.84): shared primary-source-upgrade genre, opposite evidentiary outcome — a false friend
  capture promoted Tier 1 2026-09-26 · bridge-investigation, embedding-false-friend, epistemology, economics, actuarial-history
• Which date is correct for Price's completion of the Northampton table — 1769, 1771, or 1783? (1771 first publication; 1783 revised table; 1769 unsupported)
  capture promoted Tier 1 2026-09-24 · actuarial-history, richard-price, northampton-table, dates, sourcing-provenance
• Price's 1771 first edition already prints a Northampton table, as Appendix Table IV
  claim budding Tier 1 2026-09-24 · actuarial-history, richard-price, northampton-table, dates, primary-source
• Price's 1783 fourth edition prints a re-formed Northampton table built on 46 years of data, 1735 to 1780
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-09-24 · actuarial-history, richard-price, northampton-table, dates, equitable-life
• Price's Northampton data run to 1770, so a 1769 completion date is unsupported by his own text
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-09-24 · actuarial-history, richard-price, northampton-table, dates, walford
• The 1711 Amicable policy sale and Richard Price's Northampton table share a real bridge — but it is Walford's own periodization of life-assurance history, not a direct causal chain
  capture promoted 2026-09-23 · actuarial-history, insurance, mortality-tables, historiography, institutional-history
• Cornelius Walford's own three-period taxonomy of English life-assurance history places the Amicable Society's 1706 founding in the 'Speculative or Transitional Period,' and credits Price's Northampton-table work with ending it
  note seedling Tier 2 2026-09-23 · actuarial-history, insurance, historiography, institutional-history, periodization
• The cosine-0.84 pairing between the vault's Price-Northampton-table and 1711-Amicable-policy-sale claims is a real bridge, but a historiographical one — Walford's own periodization — not a transactional or documentary link
  observation seedling Tier 2 2026-09-23 · embedding-false-friend, cosine-similarity, actuarial-history, bridge-investigation, historiography
• Which date is correct for Price's completion of the Northampton mortality table — 1769 (Walford 1885), 1771 (first edition of Observations on Reversionary Payments), or 1783 (fourth edition, per a secondary web source)?
  question open 2026-09-23 · actuarial-history, richard-price, northampton-table, sourcing-provenance, dates
• Does William Sutton's 1874 Institute of Actuaries paper on Price's Northampton table survive in any accessible copy?
  capture promoted Tier 1 2026-09-16 · william-sutton, richard-price, northampton-mortality-table, actuarial-history, source-availability
• William Sutton's 1883 paper on Milne's Carlisle table is a second, identically-blocked instance of his 1874 Price/Northampton genre
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-09-16 · william-sutton, joshua-milne, richard-price, carlisle-table, northampton-mortality-table
• Did Price's Northampton table overestimate mortality, and did that bias favour insurers over annuitants — confirm against a primary?
  capture promoted 2026-08-24 · actuarial-history, insurance, mortality-tables, historical-demography, richard-price
• Bernstein's Against the Gods (1996) independently corroborates that Price's Northampton table underestimated life expectancy, to the Equitable Society's benefit
  claim seedling Tier 3 2026-08-24 · actuarial-history, insurance, mortality-tables, historical-demography, richard-price
• The Royal Astronomical Society's own centenary history corroborates Thomas Galloway served as one of its Secretaries in the mid-1840s
  claim seedling Tier 2 2026-08-07 · actuarial-history, astronomy, thomas-galloway, royal-astronomical-society, sourcing-provenance
• The Royal Society's own official Record of medallists confirms Thomas Galloway won the 1848 Royal Medal
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-08-07 · actuarial-history, astronomy, thomas-galloway, royal-society, royal-medal
• Does a primary read confirm Thomas Galloway's Royal Astronomical Society offices and 1848 Royal Medal as currently paraphrased from Wikipedia/DNB?
  capture promoted 2026-08-03 · actuarial-history, astronomy, thomas-galloway, royal-astronomical-society, royal-society
• Seed bridge check: the 1711 Amicable policy-sale and 1811 Pensam mortality-data claims do not causally connect in Walford — dup-risk, not captured
  capture promoted 2026-07-28 · dup-risk, actuarial-history, amicable-society
• Thomas Galloway, the Amicable Society's actuary from 1833, was a Royal-Medal astronomer — a third instance of the vault's one-person-two-lineages (astronomy + actuarial science) pattern, after Halley and Price
  capture promoted 2026-07-28 · actuarial-history, astronomy, cross-domain-bridge, amicable-society, one-person-two-lineages
• Thomas Galloway held office in the Royal Astronomical Society and won the Royal Society's 1848 Royal Medal, concurrent with his career as an actuary
  claim seedling Tier 4 2026-07-28 · actuarial-history, astronomy, thomas-galloway, royal-astronomical-society, biography
• Thomas Galloway is a third instance of the vault's one-person-two-lineages pattern — astronomy and actuarial science as simultaneous, not sequential, careers
  observation seedling Tier 2 2026-07-28 · cross-domain-bridge, actuarial-history, astronomy, one-person-two-lineages, thomas-galloway
• Does a primary read confirm Thomas Galloway's Royal Astronomical Society offices and 1848 Royal Medal as currently paraphrased from Wikipedia/DNB?
  question answered 2026-07-28 · actuarial-history, astronomy, thomas-galloway, sourcing-provenance
• The standard biographical source reports Dodson's rejection-to-design causation as hearsay — 'It was said' — and no located source has Dodson framing it that way himself
  claim budding Tier 2 2026-07-26 · actuarial-history, insurance, exclusion-driven-innovation, verification, argument-from-silence
• Policies of the Amicable Society were offered for sale in 1711, in what Walford believed was probably the first sale or attempted sale of a life policy
  claim seedling Tier 2 2026-07-25 · actuarial-history, insurance, institutional-history, secondary-markets, priority-claims
• The Amicable Society's founder-registrar absconded with £6,500 in 1713, partly realizing a rival society's published warning about the temptations of a large stock
  claim budding Tier 2 2026-07-25 · actuarial-history, insurance, institutional-history, governance, fraud
• The Amicable Society did not adopt age-graded premiums until its 1807 charter — 101 years after its founding and 45 years after the Equitable
  claim budding Tier 2 2026-07-25 · actuarial-history, insurance, institutional-history, mortality-tables, adoption-lag
• The Amicable Society's own 1811 mortality experience was the first data on assured lives available to actuaries, and it was more favourable than the Northampton table
  claim budding Tier 2 2026-07-25 · actuarial-history, insurance, institutional-history, mortality-tables, selection-effects
• The Amicable dividend question was declared unanswerable while the answer sat in an unopened installment of a source already in hand
  claim budding 2026-07-25 · verification, method, negative-findings, sourcing-provenance, actuarial-history
• Early English life assurance — the seventy-year lag between age-rated pricing and anyone using it
  topic map 2026-07-25 · actuarial-history, insurance, institutional-history, mortality-tables, adoption-lag
• Does a primary or archival source confirm the Amicable Society split its fixed annual dividend fund among claimants proportional to shares held, rather than equally per claim?
  capture promoted 2026-07-24 · actuarial-history, insurance, institutional-history, mechanism, verification
• Tontine Coffee-House's claim that the Amicable Society split dividends proportional to shares held carries no inline citation of its own
  claim seedling Tier 2 2026-07-24 · actuarial-history, insurance, institutional-history, sourcing-provenance, verification
• Cornelius Walford's 1885 history of life assurance is freely hosted by the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries, but its first installment ends before reaching the Amicable Society's 1706 founding
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-24 · actuarial-history, insurance, institutional-history, sourcing-provenance, bibliographic
• The Amicable Society's 1706 rules charged every admitted member the same premium regardless of age, with no individual age-rating
  claim seedling 2026-07-23 · actuarial-history, insurance, institutional-history, mortality-tables, mechanism
• The Amicable Society pooled a fixed, pre-set annual dividend fund and divided it equally among the year's death-claims, not in proportion to shares held
  claim budding 2026-07-23 · actuarial-history, insurance, institutional-history, mortality-tables, mechanism
• The Amicable Society's 1706 rules screened membership by a coarse age band — admission capped at the top by 55 years — rather than individually rating risk
  claim seedling Tier 1 2026-07-23 · actuarial-history, insurance, institutional-history, mortality-tables, verification
• Does a primary or archival source confirm the Amicable Society split its fixed annual dividend fund among claimants proportional to shares held, rather than equally per claim?
  question answered 2026-07-23 · actuarial-history, insurance, institutional-history, mechanism, verification
• How did the Amicable Society actually price life assurance — did it pool members without age-rating and split a fixed dividend among survivors?
  capture promoted 2026-07-22 · actuarial-history, insurance, institutional-history, mechanism, mortality-tables
• Halley computed age-scaled annuity prices in his 1693 paper, yet the British government kept selling annuities at a single flat price for decades
  claim seedling Tier 2 2026-07-12 · actuarial-history, mortality-tables, edmond-halley, annuities, history-of-mathematics
• Halley's 1693 Breslau paper produced the first life table built on population data and founded the pricing of annuities on lives
  claim seedling Tier 2 2026-07-12 · actuarial-history, mortality-tables, edmond-halley, history-of-mathematics, insurance
• Edmond Halley founded both transit-of-Venus parallax and actuarial annuity pricing, and each method was adopted only after his 1742 death
  observation seedling Tier 2 2026-07-12 · cross-domain-bridge, edmond-halley, history-of-science, measurement, actuarial-history
• Does Halley's 1693 Breslau paper itself confirm the first population-based life table and the age-scaled annuity prices the vault attributes to it?
  question answered 2026-07-12 · actuarial-history, edmond-halley, mortality-tables, annuities, verification
• The bridge between the exoplanet-parallax note and the Dodson note is real: Edmond Halley is the shared ancestor of both — same polymath, two founding measurement methods, both vindicated after his death
  capture promoted Tier 2 2026-07-11 · history-of-science, edmond-halley, actuarial-history, parallax, exoplanets
• James Dodson designed the first age-scaled life-assurance premiums, the basis of the Society for Equitable Assurances (Equitable Life, founded 1762)
  claim budding Tier 4 2026-07-11 · actuarial-history, insurance, mortality-tables, exclusion-driven-innovation, institutional-history
• James Dodson was refused admission to the Amicable Society because he was over its entry-age cap of 45
  claim seedling Tier 4 2026-07-11 · actuarial-history, insurance, exclusion-driven-innovation, institutional-history, history-of-mathematics
• Price's Northampton mortality table overestimated mortality, a directional bias good for insurers and adverse to annuity buyers
  claim seedling Tier 4 2026-07-11 · actuarial-history, insurance, mortality-tables, historical-demography, mechanism-design
• Richard Price built the Northampton mortality table and Observations on Reversionary Payments (1771), the standard actuarial reference for roughly a century
  claim seedling Tier 4 2026-07-11 · actuarial-history, insurance, mortality-tables, enlightenment, history-of-mathematics
• One man, Richard Price, is a load-bearing figure in both the history of actuarial mathematics and the founding debate of modern political philosophy
  observation seedling Tier 4 2026-07-11 · cross-domain-bridge, actuarial-history, political-philosophy, enlightenment, intellectual-history
• How did the Amicable Society actually price life assurance — did it pool members without age-rating and split a fixed dividend among survivors?
  question answered 2026-07-11 · actuarial-history, insurance, mechanism, institutional-history, verification
• Did Dodson explicitly frame his 1756 age-scaled premium scheme as a response to his own rejection by the Amicable Society?
  question answered 2026-07-11 · actuarial-history, insurance, exclusion-driven-innovation, verification
• Did Richard Price's 1789 sermon directly provoke Burke's Reflections — confirm against the primary Price and Burke texts?
  question answered 2026-07-11 · actuarial-history, political-philosophy, enlightenment, revolution-controversy, source-verification
• Do Schoenberg's 1946 B-spline papers actually use 'graduation' in its actuarial sense, or is the insurance-origin story a later gloss?
  question answered 2026-07-11 · splines, schoenberg, actuarial-history, etymology, myth-correction
• Did Price's Northampton table overestimate mortality, and did that bias favour insurers over annuitants — confirm against a primary?
  question open 2026-07-11 · actuarial-history, insurance, mortality-tables, historical-demography, source-verification
• James Dodson was rejected from life insurance for being 'too old' at 46 — so he invented the age-based mathematics that founded modern actuarial science
  capture promoted Tier 4 2026-07-09 · actuarial-history, insurance, mortality-tables, exclusion-driven-innovation, disability-echo
• Richard Price built the mortality table that defined life insurance for a century — and his 1789 sermon lit the fuse for Burke's Reflections on the Revolution in France
  capture promoted Tier 4 2026-07-09 · actuarial-history, insurance, mortality-tables, enlightenment, political-philosophy